
It would be theoretically possible, by screening systematic and universal voluntary AIDS, coupled with an immediate treatment to eradicate the disease in less than ten years, according to a mathematical analysis of researchers from the World Health Organization ( WHO) published this week in The Lancet medical journal. The researchers simulated by computer the spread of the disease situation in South Africa where 20% of the population is infected. If we tested annually in a country, any person over 15 years and if we immediately put on antiretroviral any HIV-positive person, this would reduce by 95% in the number of new cases in 10 years. In people treated, the risk of contamination is low, as has been shown at the conference in Mexico last August. "While there are other possibilities, our model suggests that only voluntary testing and the immediate treatment can reduce transmission to the elimination of the epidemic. In countries such as Africa South, it would be possible to the 2020s, "say the researchers. The transmission could be reduced to levels limited and the epidemic could fall substantially to disposal. The authors stress that their model is theoretical and wonder about its feasibility, particularly with regard to the protection of individual rights, drug resistance, toxicity and funding problems. The WHO will convene early next year a meeting of experts in ethics, defenders of human rights, clinicians, experts in prevention and administrators of programs against AIDS, to discuss its guidelines fight against AIDS. In late 2007, there were in the world around 3 million people who received treatment while 6.7 million in need. There was in 2007, nearly 2.7 million new cases of infection.
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